BNP Paribas looks forward to 2025: The Federal Reserve is expected to stay put for the whole year, and the US yield will rise. The 2025 outlook report released by BNP Paribas on Thursday shows that the yield of US Treasury bonds is expected to rise, and under the strong dollar, it will reach parity against the euro. The bank predicts that with the entry into force of the tariff measures proposed by the incoming Trump administration, the US inflation rate will start to pick up from the middle of next year, prompting the Fed to remain inactive throughout 2025. Calvin Tse, the bank's head of macro strategy for the Americas, said that customers are advised to continue to allocate low US Treasury bonds next year, because they expect that inflation will accelerate from mid-2025 after the soft landing of the economy, and the yield of 10-year Treasury bonds will be 4.65% at the end of the year. Tse also said that inflation is expected to be higher and the Fed is more hawkish next year.White House: Biden's approval of an aid program to Ukraine will provide more air defense systems, etc. On December 12, local time, John Kirby, strategic communication coordinator of the US White House National Security Council, said at the White House briefing that day that US President Biden approved a new Ukrainian security assistance program on the 12 th, which will provide Ukraine with more air defense systems, artillery, drones and armored vehicles. Kirby said that this is the 72nd such material deployment assistance announced by the United States, and the United States will continue to provide additional aid packages until the end of the current government.Banks prepare for personal pension account opening. Marketing insurance companies lay out early to seize the opportunity. The year-end and year-end are the last moment of personal pension annual payment. On December 12, the personal pension system ushered in expansion. The Ministry of Human Resources and Social Security and other five departments issued the "Notice on the Full Implementation of the Personal Pension System", saying that since December 15th, the personal pension system has been pushed from 36 pilot cities (regions) to the whole country. The reporter learned that as the "entrance" of individual pension accounts, banks are actively preparing for account opening marketing. For example, many banks have launched preferential activities for opening accounts and paying personal pensions by appointment, and activities such as reduction of funds, payment ceremony and lottery withdrawal have taken turns. As an in-depth participant in the individual pension system, insurance companies have also made positive statements and will seize the historical opportunity to participate more deeply in the construction of the third pillar of the pension system. (SSE)
WTI January crude oil futures closed down 0.27 USD, or 0.38% to 70.02 USD/barrel. Nymex January natural gas futures closed up 2.28% at $3.4550 per million british thermal unit.Boeing plans to increase the monthly output of the 787 to 10 by 2026. Boeing said on Thursday that it plans to increase the monthly output of the 787 Dreamliner wide-body passenger aircraft to 10 by 2026. The aircraft manufacturer plans to expand its operations in Charleston County, South Carolina, invest $1 billion to upgrade infrastructure and create 500 new jobs. Boeing has been working hard to restore the output of 787 aircraft to the level of 5 aircraft per month before the end of this year, but the obstacles in the supply chain have led to production delays.Reiterating that "stabilizing the property market" releases a stronger signal, the Central Economic Work Conference was held in Beijing from December 11 to 12. In terms of real estate, the meeting called for "stabilizing the property market" and "continuously pushing the real estate market to stop falling and stabilize". Experts said that the the Political Bureau of the Communist Party of China (CPC) Central Committee meeting held in September first mentioned "promoting the real estate market to stop falling and stabilize", the the Political Bureau of the Communist Party of China (CPC) Central Committee meeting held in December made it clear that "stabilizing the property market", and the Central Economic Work Conference reiterated "stabilizing the property market" and emphasized "continuously pushing the real estate market to stop falling and stabilize", which reflected the firm attitude of promoting the real estate market. It is expected that the policy of "stabilizing the property market" in the next stage will continue to exert efforts, do a good job and promote new and greater results. (CSI)
The balance of A-share financing reached a nine-year high. On December 12th, the A-share market opened lower and went higher. At the close, the Shanghai Composite Index rose by nearly 1%, the Shenzhen Component Index rose by 1% and the Growth Enterprise Market Index rose by more than 1%. More than 3,500 stocks in the entire A-share market rose, with more than 150 stocks trading daily, and the big consumer sector broke out. The market turnover was 1.89 trillion yuan, which has exceeded 1 trillion yuan for 52 consecutive trading days, setting a new record for the A-share market. In terms of funds, Wind data shows that as of December 11th, the financing balance in the A-share market was 1,875.85 billion yuan, a record high of over 9 years. In the first three trading days of this week, the financing balance "increased three times in a row", with a cumulative increase of 22.579 billion yuan. Analysts believe that short-term ample liquidity and optimistic policy expectations are still the main support of the market. In the medium and long term, the A-share market is expected to continue to fluctuate upward under the dual promotion of policy expectations and economic trends. (CSI)Medical staff: Israeli air strikes on houses in Nu Sillat refugee camp in central Gaza killed at least 20 Palestinians.Boeing: The 787 Dreamliner project plans to increase production to 10 aircraft per month by 2026.
Strategy guide
12-14
Strategy guide 12-14